I am a definitely here for Trump’s assumption that the longer you have tenure the smarter you are, but of course it’s not true his uncle John was the longest serving professor at MIT.
Living and Learning as if Binary Identities Aren’t Everything
The exchange below, from May, has stuck with me. I had suggested in an essay on “teen births” that the category doesn’t make sense, analytically.
The exchange below, from May, has stuck with me. I had suggested in an essay on “teen births” that the category doesn’t make sense, analytically.
There Is Little Evidence for Reversing Low Fertility Rates
We do not have experience with whole countries going through sustained population decline. So we don’t know how that will affect society, or how best to cope with it.
we do not have experience with whole countries going through sustained population decline. So we don’t know how that will affect society, or how best to cope with it.
Population Implosion Collapse Chaos, Pronatalist Billionaire Discourse Edition
Population debate seems to be accelerating exponentially.
Population debate seems to be accelerating exponentially.
Giving Girls Surnames as First Names Has Peaked, for Now
There may be a phonetic element to this, having to do with the decline of “ee” (Ashley) and “er” (Taylor) endings, and the rise of “ah” (Ava, Olivia) endings. But that’s not my expertise.
There may be a phonetic element to this, having to do with the decline of “ee” (Ashley) and “er” (Taylor) endings, and the rise of “ah” (Ava, Olivia) endings. But that’s not my expertise.
Cohabitation Displacing Marriage
Here’s another way to look at it. Among those who are living with a partner, what percentage are cohabiting?
Here’s another way to look at it. Among those who are living with a partner, what percentage are cohabiting?
The Definitive US Baby Name Popularity and Androgyny Update for 2023
Top boy names now include Mateo, which saw an 8% increase over 2022, to 11,229 births (not counting the additional 2,503 spelled with two T’s).
Top boy names now include Mateo, which saw an 8% increase over 2022, to 11,229 births (not counting the additional 2,503 spelled with two T’s).
From Baby Bust to Ongoing Fertility Collapse (Just Kidding)
Anyway, this post is a about US fertility trends now that we have provisional birth data for 2023.
Anyway, this post is a about US fertility trends now that we have provisional birth data for 2023.
How a Population Ages or Grows Younger: Classic Ansley Coale Paper Finally Updated
The trickiest part was the discussion of global growth rates over the last 2000 years.
The trickiest part was the discussion of global growth rates over the last 2000 years.
Researchers: Which One of Your Skills Do You Think Can’t Be Done by a Machine?
Why is there so much vertical integration in academic publishing?
Why is there so much vertical integration in academic publishing?
Modern Marriage Commentary
Sometimes when I give an news media interview I record my side of the conversation and look back to see if I agree with what I said. Removing a lot of words, and partial words, here is one soliloquy, with some links.
Sometimes when I give an news media interview I record my side of the conversation and look back to see if I agree with what I said. Removing a lot of words, and partial words, here is one soliloquy, with some links.
Turning the Tide on Marriage Is Not the Same as Coasting Downstream on Teen Pregnancy
I’m not a philosopher, but even if you like the sentimental fiction or poetry of Walter Scott, I wouldn’t count out the Encyclopaedists. (The wrecked steamboat in Huckleberry Finn was named the Walter Scott.)
I’m not a philosopher, but even if you like the sentimental fiction or poetry of Walter Scott, I wouldn’t count out the Encyclopaedists. (The wrecked steamboat in Huckleberry Finn was named the Walter Scott.)
Child Poverty: Intergenerational or Not, Still Not a Mystery
In 2023, child poverty in the United States was a $52 billion problem. Is that a lot? No, it’s not.
In 2023, child poverty in the United States was a $52 billion problem. Is that a lot? No, it’s not.
Partner Prospects and the Marriage Promotion Fallacy
The gist of it is to compare two groups of women and their coresidential partners: those who have married for the first time in the previous year versus those who are cohabiting and have never been married – the latter of whom could, in principle, have chosen marriage last year instead.
The gist of it is to compare two groups of women and their coresidential partners: those who have married for the first time in the previous year versus those who are cohabiting and have never been married – the latter of whom could, in principle, have chosen marriage last year instead.
Time To Stop Saying ‘Retreat From Marriage’ (Metabolism Update)
I like marriage lifetables. Also, I hope people within the sound of my (repetitive) voice will reconsider their use of the term “retreat from marriage.”
I like marriage lifetables. Also, I hope people within the sound of my (repetitive) voice will reconsider their use of the term “retreat from marriage.”
Still Not Talking About Black-White Inequality in Marriage
I assume Kearney would say she discusses race in her book, to which I can only respond: send it to me and I’ll discuss it.
I assume Kearney would say she discusses race in her book, to which I can only respond: send it to me and I’ll discuss it.















